Plotting a Pathway to Net Zero for Sainsbury’s

Sainsburys is a leading supermarket in the UK, with 600 supermarkets and over 800 convenience stores. They are investing £1 billion over 15 years in becoming a Net Zero business across their own operations by 2035.

The Challenge

Emissions from transport fuel account for more than half of Sainsbury’s Scope 1 emissions. It is therefore vital they develop a pathway to net zero for their diverse fleet of HGVs and delivery vans.

Solution

FPS used our proprietary suite of Plan tools to:

  • Combine Sainsbury’s operational and energy data in simulations of future fleet scenarios that quantify cost, feasibility, and emissions impacts of EV adoption.
  • Identify optimal vehicle and infrastructure strategies.
  • Test them under a range of business and technology evolution pathways.
  • Produce an EV adoption strategy.

Impact

By modelling 1,276 HGVs, 1,792 trailers and 868 vans across more than 160k journeys FPS was able to:

  • Build a technically feasible pathway to net zero that accounted for technology and operating change that clearly detailed capital, operating, electricity, and emissions impacts.
  • Illustrate the comparative case for EV and hydrogen adoption under current and future market conditions.
  • Understand peak load impacts of EV adoption and likely connection upgrade requirements at every site modelled.
  • Identify the opportunity for capital savings of more than £400k at larger large commercial vehicle sites and £1m at HGV sites.
  • Produce a flexible set of forecasts that enable the company to track the impact of changes to the cadence of its roll out strategy on transition costs and emissions.